Tuesday, September 4, 2012

NFL Preview: AFC South


1. Houston Texans

Remember that period of 4 years where people kept saying that this was the year the Texans would final make the jump from an 8-8 team to a playoff team? Well, last year was the finally the year—they won 10 games and the weak AFC South outright, not to mention a playoff win. What made the run even more remarkable—they started the season without star runningback Arian Foster, ended the season without starting quarterback Matt Schaub, lost all-world wide receiver Andre Johnson for a large chunk in the middle, and were without defensive end Mario Williams for almost the entire year. Now Williams got the big bucks and fled to Buffalo, but if the rest of these guys can stay in one piece and play on the field at the same time…watch out, this offense could be lethal. When he plays, Foster has been the best back in the league for the past two seasons, and we all know how good Andre Johnson can be. Schaub just needs to be an adequate QB and the offense will be very good if not great. On defense, this improved unit did lose Mario Williams as well as linebacker Demeco Ryans, but star-in-the-making JJ Watt along with underrated Connor Barwin and Antonio Smith should give this team an elite pass rush. The addition of Jonathan Joseph at corner last year finally provided some resistance to the aerial attack and Kareem Jackson opposite of him should only get better. O, and Brian Cushing is a straight up animal. For the Texans, this year is all about staying healthy. If they can do that…all systems go baby. They play in a weak division where they should beat both the Colts and Jags twice, can they take the next step?

Projected Record: 11-5

      2.    Tennessee Titans

All things considered, the Titans flew very much under the radar last season finishing 9-7 and remaining in the playoff hunt until the final week of the season. They did so with Chris Johnson performing at a very pedestrian level, losing #1 receiver Kenny Britt to a torn ACL in Week 2 of the season, and an aging QB in Matt Hasselback who surprisingly played his best football in a long time. CJ2K (#jklol the jokes on you! Only rushed for 1047 yards!) has rededicated himself this offseason and all reports say that he is in fantastic shape and looking like the guy we saw in 2009 who rushed for over 2,000 yards. When healthy, Kenny Britt has looked like a future star but will have to overcome the ACL injury and also some off-the-field issues, which landed him with a suspension for week one. The Titans will also go to their QB of the future in Jake Locker who looked fantastic in relief of Hasselback last season but also had some hiccups this pre-season, which is to be expected of a young signal caller. They also drafted speedster Kendall Wright to give Locker another weapon to utilize, and the two seemed to develop some nice camaraderie in the pre-season The defensive unit is stout, but will need to improve if they want to make the post-season, they ranked 11th in yards per game and 8th in points allowed. This season will likely rely on the arm of Locker and how well he handles the starting role, if he can show he will be a part of this next wave of great young QB’s, this team may just surprise people this year.

Projected Record: 9-7

      3.    Indianapolis Colts

Man, last year was brutal. A 2-14 finish confirmed just how valuable Peyton Manning was to that team and organization. I mean don’t get me wrong, I am as big as a Curtis Painter fan as the next guy, but wow, even I didn’t think they were going to be THAT bad. The Colts will be in full fledged rebuilding mode this year—that guy named Manning now plays for Denver, and that guy named Luck will now look to start a new era of greatness at the QB position, a position Manning held down at the absolute highest level for 13 years. No big deal, small shoes to fill. All reports said Luck was as good as advertised and camp, and he looked like a five-year veteran this pre-season. I remember watching him play and just saying damn, this kid is an absolute stud. However, the Colts didn’t just lose Manning. Long staples of the franchise like Joseph Addai, Jeff Saturday, Pierre Garcon, Gary Brackett, and Dallas Clark are all history. It’s an entirely new generation in Indy. Luckily (<<see what I did there!!), they did hang onto Reggie Wayne, who should be ready for a big bounce-back season with a capable QB throwing him the ball. They also drafted Luck’s favorite target throughout his collegiate career in Coby Fleener, with the hopes that they have already found the Manning-Clark clone of a combo. Luck will be handing off to Donald Brown, who somehow managed a more than respectable 4.8 yards a carry mark last season. He has never handled an every-down-back workload, but he has showed some flashes of explosiveness in the pre-season. They also added tackle Eric Winston to give Luck some protection. Look, this team will have some MAJOR growing pains. The defense will have those games where you will have to cover your eyes, but all in all, this year will be a glimpse of the future, a glimpse of the most highly touted quarterback to come out of college since his predecessor. I see this season as maybe a 5 to 6 win season, but I also think they have the ability to pull off one of those shockers where they pull a game out of their rear end—and if that is the climax of the season, I think the Colts organization will be perfectly happy with that.

Projected Record: 5-11

      4.     Jacksonville Jaguars

Yikes. Meet the NFL’s most putrid offense. Their only weapon and without-a-doubt best player just completed a lengthy holdout and will be limited to 3rd down duties to start the year, their quarterback was a complete mess in his rookie season, and their #1 receiver is a rookie who blew a .24 while in control of a motor vehicle this offseason #BadDecisionBin. Seriously though, the glass isn’t just half empty for this team, it is pretty much Sahara dry. Many of his own coaches and scouts around the league have already proclaimed Blaine Gabbart to be a complete dud. When that man is your starting quarterback…that’s never a good sign. MJD’s holdout just secured a miserable season for the Jags, and that holdout will probably subsequently result in a down year for the NFL’s leading rusher last season. Just ask Chris Johnson about that one! Remember in that movie Perfect Storm where they sailed through the eye of the mother load of all storms, and then shit hit the fan and sunk their boat? That’s kind of what I’m thinking for this team.

Projected Record: 2-14

Pj’s Picks

      1.     Houston Texans
      2.     Tennessee Titans
      3.     Indianapolis Colts
      4.     Jacksonville Jaguars 

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